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​ USD/JPY Hidden Bearish Divergence Prior to FOMC Decision

Ožujak 21, 2018 09:59

Source: Admiral Markets MT5 with MT5SE Add-on

Today the USD faces major news and an important report - the FOMC Federal Funds rate decision. Besides the official rate announcement, the report includes the FOMC's projection for inflation and economic growth over the next two years and, a breakdown of the individual FOMC member's interest rate forecasts.

Technically, the USD/JPY broke the inner trend line (green) and since then has been in a retracement. However, we can see a hidden bearish divergence has been formed that cues for a trend continuation. Since the primary trend is down, we could see rejection from 106.30-40 towards 106.00, 105.80, 105.50. 4h candle close below W L3 aims for 105.03. For bulls to have the upper hand, only a strong momentum and 4h close above 106.70 should spike the pair towards 107.13.W L3 - Weekly Camarilla Pivot (Weekly Interim Support)

W H3 - Weekly Camarilla Pivot (Weekly Interim Resistance)

W H4 - Weekly Camarilla Pivot (Strong Weekly Resistance)

M H4 - Daily Camarilla Pivot (Very Strong Monthly Resistance)

M L3 – Daily Camarilla Pivot (Monthly Support)

M L4 – Daily H4 Camarilla (Very Strong Monthly Support)

POC - Point Of Confluence (The zone where we expect price to react aka entry zone)

Best wishes,

Nenad

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