Weekly Wave Analysis EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY 1 October 2018

Listopad 01, 2018 08:31

Please find below this week's wave analysis for the EUR/USD currency pair, GBP/USD currency pair and USD/JPY currency pair using the daily, weekly and monthly charts.

EUR/USD

The EURUSD currency pair could be building an ABC (purple) correction within a potential wave X (pink). A critical level for this wave pattern is the green support trend line at 1.15, which could be used for an inverted head and shoulders pattern (purple boxes). A bullish bounce could see the price finish wave Y (pink) of wave B (purple), whereas a bearish break could see the price fall further towards the Fibonacci levels.

Daily chart:

Source: Admiral Markets MT5 with MT5SE Add-on EUR/USD motive wave – Accessed 30 September 2018 at 5:00 PM GMT

The EUR/USD currency pair is probably building a bearish ABC (purple) correction within wave B (red).

Weekly chart:

Source: Admiral Markets MT5 with MT5SE Add-on EUR/USD motive wave – Accessed 30 September 2018 at 5:00 PM GMT

The EUR/USD currency pair has completed wave A (red) and the price is most likely retracing to the Fibonacci levels of wave B (red).

Monthly chart:

Source: Admiral Markets MT5 with MT5SE Add-on EUR/USD motive wave – Accessed 30 September 2018 at 5:00 PM GMT

GBP/USD

The GBP/USD currency pair made a bearish bounce at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of the wave 4 (pink) pattern. A bearish breakout could confirm the potential wave 5 pattern (pink).

Daily chart:

Source: Admiral Markets MT5 with MT5SE Add-on GBP/USD motive wave – Accessed 30 September 2018 at 5:00 PM GMT

The GBPUSD currency pair has probably started the bearish wave 5 after the price has completed a wave 4 (light purple) correction.

Weekly chart:

Source: Admiral Markets MT5 with MT5SE Add-on GBP/USD motive wave – Accessed 30 September 2018 at 5:00 PM GMT

The GBP/USD currency pair is showing a series of bearish candlesticks and hence a strong downtrend. This is probably indicating the start of wave 5 (purple), whereas a bullish break above the resistance (orange) trend line indicates that a different wave pattern is valid.

Monthly chart:

Source: Admiral Markets MT5 with MT5SE Add-on GBP/USD motive wave – Accessed 30 September 2018 at 5:00 PM GMT

USD/JPY

The USDJPY currency pair seems to be building a WXY (pink) correction within wave D (purple).

Daily chart:

Source: Admiral Markets MT5 with MT5SE Add-on USD/JPY motive wave – Accessed 30 September 2018 at 5:00 PM GMT

The USD/JPY currency pair broke above the resistance trend lines (dotted red), which is either the start of a bullish trend, or still part of the larger ABCDE triangle (light purple) within wave B (red).

Weekly chart:

Source: Admiral Markets MT5 with MT5SE Add-on USD/JPY motive wave – Accessed 30 September 2018 at 5:00 PM GMT

The USD/JPY currency pair is probably still in the wave E (light purple) of the triangle pattern, unless it breaks above the 78.6-100% Fibonacci resistance zone.

Monthly chart:

Source: Admiral Markets MT5 with MT5SE Add-on USD/JPY motive wave – Accessed 30 September 2018 at 5:00 PM GMT

This material does not contain and should not be construed as containing investment advice, investment recommendations, an offer of or solicitation for any transactions in financial instruments. Please note that such trading analysis is not a reliable indicator for any current or future performance, as circumstances may change over time. Before making any investment decisions, you should seek advice from independent financial advisors to ensure you understand the risks.